Why is the US Afraid of Death in War?
Overview
The key angle: public intolerance for military casualties has reshaped American war-making and now offers a useful lens for understanding resistance to disruptive technologies inside organizations. In the mid-20th century, mass sacrifice in World War II was framed as existential and just. By the Vietnam era, televised body bags and a draft that touched middle‑class families turned deaths into a political currency. The result: a long, visible decline in the social tolerance for even limited battlefield losses.
From Vietnam to Mogadishu and the Gulf
Television changed everything. Vietnam became the first "living room war" and the public could no longer be soothed by distant narratives of national survival. After the draft ended in 1973 and the U.S. moved to an all‑volunteer force, a new social contract emerged: soldiers would be treated as professional human capital and the public expected technology and management to minimize risk. It has been reported that the 1993 Battle of Mogadishu — where a small number of U.S. deaths were broadcast and their bodies humiliated in the streets — had outsized political consequences and accelerated withdrawal from low‑priority interventions. Conversely, the 1991 Gulf War, with its low U.S. casualty figures enabled by overwhelming technology, cemented an expectation of "low‑cost" military operations.
Structural costs, organizations and AI
The Huxiu piece extends this military narrative into organizational theory with a "Triple Structural Cost" (TSC) model: explicit monetary costs (Ce), power‑reorganization friction (Cp), and narrative legitimacy costs (Cn). That framework explains why firms resist AI automation not merely because workers fear new tools, but because replacing roles reshuffles budgets, authority and incentives — and demands a new story to justify the change. In short: death in war became politically intolerable because it exposed structural costs; likewise, layoffs and reorganizations expose the structural costs inside firms.
Geopolitics and the tech front
This dynamic matters beyond U.S. politics. As AI and chip‑level controls become core to geopolitical competition, policies such as export controls and sanctions raise Ce and Cp for firms on both sides of the Pacific. Chinese AI champions such as Baidu (百度) and Alibaba (阿里巴巴) are racing to commercialize models, but state pressure, supply‑chain constraints and reputational narratives all add to structural costs. Can societies and corporations pay those costs — and who will bear them? That question links battlefield sensitivity to casualties with boardroom resistance to disruption, and it will shape how both technology and geopolitics evolve in the decade ahead.
