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虎嗅 2026-03-19

Many Western observers misjudge Trump’s ambitions on the Russia–Ukraine standoff, Huxiu argues

Diplomatic rounds and a stalled summit

An opinion piece in Huxiu reports that the recent 2026 Abu Dhabi and Geneva meetings—the first direct U.S.–Russia–Ukraine talks since 2022—have produced little more than a rehearsal of entrenched positions. Kyiv, it says, refused U.S. proposals for a Donetsk non‑military zone and a special free‑trade area, and insisted on security guarantees that it ties to NATO‑level protection. Moscow, by contrast, has continued to press territorial claims in Donbas and pushed for direct U.S.–Russia dialogue. The Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant (扎波罗热核电站) was also a recurring flashpoint during talks, it has been reported.

Three different definitions of “peace”

The Huxiu analysis frames the impasse not as a failure of diplomacy but as a clash of competing definitions of peace. Russia reportedly seeks a settlement that locks in its battlefield gains and security red lines. Kyiv and much of Europe define a “just” peace as one that prevents any Russian advantage and keeps Ukraine within a Western security orbit. The United States, the piece argues, under Donald Trump’s influence is positioning for a lower‑cost exit—pushing Kyiv to resolve territorial questions first so Washington can disengage quickly. Who is driving policy here: allies or national interest?

Europe, sanctions and the long game

The article contends that Europe is not merely a U.S. proxy; instead, it portrays the EU as its own actor—pursuing military buildup, sanctions, and a strategy to limit Russia’s influence even at the cost of prolonged conflict. Huxiu suggests this “fear of Russia” explains why some European capitals resist rapid reconciliation despite shifting U.S. priorities. It has been reported that European arms production and defense planning accelerated after 2022, adding another layer to the bargaining calculus.

Why negotiations keep stalling

The key takeaway from the Huxiu piece is simple: talks falter because the parties are negotiating different endgames. With competing timelines, rival security guarantees, and sanctions and trade policies shaping incentives, a breakthrough will require one side to revise foundational assumptions—or for an external shock to reset the bargaining table. Whether Western observers properly read U.S. intentions under Trump matters: misjudging Washington could lead to strategic surprise, and misreading Europe’s resolve could mean underestimating how long the conflict endures.

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